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Lidar 2020-2030: Technologies, Players, Markets & Forecasts -
Report Overview Following a period of dedicated research by expert analysts, IDTechEx published a report that offers unique insights into the global 3D lidar market. The report contains a comprehensive analysis of 106 players developing 3D lidar for the ADAS and autonomous vehicles market, which includes a detailed assessment of technology innovations and market dynamics. While the market analysis and forecasts focus on the automotive industry, the technology analysis and company profiles also cover lidar for industrial automation, robotics, smart city, security, and mapping. Importantly, the report presents an unbiased analysis of primary data gathered via our interviews with key players, and it builds on our expertise in the transport, electronics and photonics sectors. This research delivers valuable insights for: Companies that require lidar* Companies that develop lidar Companies that supply components and materials for lidar Companies that invest in lidar Companies that develop other technologies for machine automation *or similar and competing sensors The Lidar Revolution: Enabling Machines to See the World 3D lidar is an optical perception technology that enables machines to see the world, make decisions and navigate. At present, machines using lidar range from small service robots to large autonomous vehicles. Lidar technologies and markets are rapidly evolving, and IDTechEx are tracking 106 3D lidar players worldwide. Each player claims to offer a unique, next-generation product that is superior to competing technologies. The technology landscape is cluttered with numerous options for every component in a lidar system. IDTechEx identified four important technology choices that every lidar player and lidar user must make: measurement process, laser, beam steering mechanism, and photodetector. The beam steering mechanism is the most complicated and critical choice. The technology choices made today will have immense consequences for performance, price and scalability of lidar in the future. The present state of the lidar market is unsustainable because winning technologies and players will inevitably emerge, consolidating the technology and business landscapes. 3D lidar start-ups targeting the autonomous vehicles market have secured $1.9 billion USD in funding for product development. Research on Lidar by IDTechEx The research on lidar was conducted by Dr Nilushi Wijeyasinghe, an IDTechEx analyst, as part of an autonomous vehicles project directed by Dr Khasha Ghaffarzadeh, the Research Director of IDTechEx. The authors have significant experience in laser physics and semiconductor physics research, in addition to experience in advising multi-billion dollar corporations on business growth and technology strategy. The project builds on the expertise of IDTechEx in the transport, electronics and photonics sectors, which includes our extensive network of contacts throughout the lidar supply chain: from materials suppliers to automotive OEMs. The coverage of our research is global and includes 34 players headquartered in Asia (20 start-ups in China), 19 players headquartered in Europe, 48 players headquartered in North America and 5 players headquartered in the rest of the world (ROW). Our research is focused on players who position themselves as automotive Tier 2 suppliers. The report explores how innovations in lidar technology affect the growth of lidar market segments. In the technical analysis chapters, IDTechEx analysts use their experience in physics research to explain novel technical concepts to a non-specialist audience. The market analysis chapters provide an assessment of 106 players developing 156 3D lidar products. Market forecasts are based on the extensive analysis of primary and secondary data, combined with careful consideration of market drivers, restraints and key player activities. The technology adoption roadmaps for six types of lidar in four types of level 3+ autonomous vehicles are evaluated to provide a balanced outlook on market opportunities. Our forecast model of the lidar market builds on our forecast model for autonomous mobility, which considers a peak car scenario from 2032 onward. The peak car scenario partly results from the wide adoption of autonomous shared mobility vehicles. Our model of the lidar market considers how the following variables evolve during the forecast period for each beam steering technology segment: technology readiness level of lidar; lidar unit price; lidar cost per vehicle; lidar production volume; vehicle production volume; autonomous vehicle technology adoption; lidar technology adoption; lidar market share per autonomous vehicle segment. Our report answers important questions such as: What are the lidar technology choices available today, and how do these choices impact on product development and product positioning? What is the present status of each lidar technology and what are the future opportunities? How is the lidar business landscape evolving in terms of the supply chain, investments and partnerships? How will each lidar market segment evolve in the short-term and long-term? The global market for 3D lidar in level 3+ autonomous vehicles grows to $5.4 billion by 2030 with MEMS lidar emerging as the largest market segment.
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